Notodden 0-1 Arendal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
9%
9.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+1.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.9pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notodden EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Arendal EU Bookmakers 45%
+16% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.76/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.64
+5% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notodden
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Arendal
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Arendal Arendal 1-2 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
22.10.2023 Notodden Notodden 3-0 HT 2-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
11.06.2023 Arendal Arendal 0-3 HT 0-2 Notodden Notodden NOR3
09.07.2022 Arendal Arendal 2-0 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
14.05.2022 Notodden Notodden 2-0 HT 0-0 Arendal Arendal NOR3
09.10.2021 Arendal Arendal 2-1 HT 1-0 Notodden Notodden NOR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Notodden
0-1
AWAY Arendal
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Notodden vs Arendal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arendal edged past Notodden 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 23% / 41% — and on the day Arendal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Notodden had 45% of the ball to Arendal's 55%, shots finished 10-19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Notodden had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Notodden and 0.83 for Arendal.

What was the final score of Notodden vs Arendal?

Notodden 0-1 Arendal in the Norway - 2nd Division on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notodden vs Arendal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arendal win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Notodden 36%, draw 23%, Arendal 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arendal), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arendal) ✓ Under 2.5
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