Sarpsborg 08 II 1-1 Ullern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.08
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-5.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.1pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-8.1pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ullern EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.49/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/2.08
-23% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ullern
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.05.2024 Ullern Ullern 2-0 HT 2-0 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Ullern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II and Ullern couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Ullern?

Sarpsborg 08 II 1-1 Ullern in the Norway - 3rd Division on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Ullern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 40%, draw 26%, Ullern 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
13 Jul 2024
15:00 Flint vs Nordstrand Analysis →
15:00 Mjöndalen II vs Oppsal Analysis →
16:00 Floro SK vs Loddefjord Analysis →
17:00 Fram Larvik vs Brodd Analysis →