Zenit St. Petersburg 4-2 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Rusya - Süper Kupa, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.66
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
56%
-22.7pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.2pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+13.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Krasnodar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.53 xG 0.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
432 Passes 324
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
11.11.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
13.05.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 2-2 HT 1-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
30.10.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-1 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
25.04.2022 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-3 HT 0-2 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
07.08.2021 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 3-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4-2
AWAY Krasnodar
1.44 xG 0.85
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
354 Passes 446
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 13
12 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg got the better of Krasnodar 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Zenit St. Petersburg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 46% of the ball to Krasnodar's 54%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.44 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar?

Zenit St. Petersburg 4-2 Krasnodar in the Rusya - Süper Kupa on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 33%, draw 33%, Krasnodar 33%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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