Detroit City 0-1 Memphis 901 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.68
No
60%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.3pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Memphis 901 EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +9%
0.81/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.48
-40% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
15.9 Crosses 13.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Memphis 901
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.16 xG 1.27
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 298
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 1-0 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
18.06.2023 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 0-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
23.10.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 3-1 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
26.06.2022 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 2-0 HT 1-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
02.04.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 1-1 HT 0-1 Memphis 901 Memphis 901 USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
0-1
AWAY Memphis 901
0.30 xG 0.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 156
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Detroit City vs Memphis 901
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Memphis 901 squeezed past Detroit City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Memphis 901 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Detroit City had 60% of the ball to Memphis 901's 40%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.30 to 0.65.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Memphis 901 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Detroit City and 1.40 for Memphis 901.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Memphis 901?

Detroit City 0-1 Memphis 901 in the USL Championship on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Memphis 901?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 38%, draw 26%, Memphis 901 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Detroit City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Detroit City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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