El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Las Vegas Lights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.2pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Vegas Lights EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.21/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.56
+6% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +42%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.4 Crosses 15.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.06
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
395 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
14.09.2023 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
15.06.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-1 HT 2-1 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
28.05.2022 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
24.03.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 4-5 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
18.07.2021 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-0 HT 0-0 Las Vegas Lights Las Vegas Lights USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
0-2
AWAY Las Vegas Lights
1.36 xG 1.95
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
256 Passes 476
80% Pass Accuracy 89%
22 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Las Vegas Lights got the better of El Paso Locomotive 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was El Paso Locomotive at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 39% of the ball to Las Vegas Lights's 61%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.36 to 1.95.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.17 for Las Vegas Lights.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?

El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Las Vegas Lights in the USL Championship on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 42%, draw 26%, Las Vegas Lights 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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