Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Las Vegas Lights v El Paso Locomotive — Team-Based Signals
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
2-1
HT 2-1
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-1
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
4-5
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
1-0
HT 0-0
Las Vegas Lights
USLP
0-3
HT 0-0
El Paso Locomotive
USLP
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 El Paso Locomotive — Actual Match Statistics
Las Vegas Lights squeezed past El Paso Locomotive 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Las Vegas Lights as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Las Vegas Lights had 47% of the ball to El Paso Locomotive's 53%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.39 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Las Vegas Lights and 2.00 for El Paso Locomotive.
What was the final score of Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Las Vegas Lights 1-0 El Paso Locomotive in the USL Championship on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive?
Before kick-off our model rated a Las Vegas Lights win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Las Vegas Lights 42%, draw 25%, El Paso Locomotive 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Las Vegas Lights), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.