Charleston Battery 4-0 New Mexico United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.32
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.9pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charleston Battery EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY New Mexico United EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.76/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.39
+20% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.7 Crosses 15.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charleston Battery
1W-0D-2L
AWAY New Mexico United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.58 xG 1.23
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
291 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 5
03.09.2023 New Mexico United New Mexico United 0-1 HT 0-0 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
15.05.2022 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery 0-2 HT 0-1 New Mexico United New Mexico United USLP
13.07.2021 New Mexico United New Mexico United 2-1 HT 1-1 Charleston Battery Charleston Battery USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charleston Battery
4-0
AWAY New Mexico United
2.56 xG 0.71
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
335 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Charleston Battery vs New Mexico United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charleston Battery swept aside New Mexico United 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charleston Battery as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Charleston Battery had 54% of the ball to New Mexico United's 46%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 2.56 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, New Mexico United led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Charleston Battery and 1.33 for New Mexico United.

What was the final score of Charleston Battery vs New Mexico United?

Charleston Battery 4-0 New Mexico United in the USL Championship on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charleston Battery vs New Mexico United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charleston Battery win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Charleston Battery 47%, draw 29%, New Mexico United 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charleston Battery), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charleston Battery) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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