Phoenix Rising 1-0 Oakland Roots — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
9%
9.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.14 — our 27% vs market 19.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Phoenix Rising EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Oakland Roots EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +17%
1.65/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.37
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.0 Crosses 14.6
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Phoenix Rising
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Oakland Roots
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.68 xG 1.65
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
349 Passes 309
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.06.2023 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 1-1 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
11.06.2023 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 2-2 HT 0-1 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
11.09.2022 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 0-2 HT 0-2 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
28.07.2022 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 0-0 HT 0-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
10.10.2021 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising 1-0 HT 1-0 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots USLP
26.08.2021 Oakland Roots Oakland Roots 3-1 HT 1-0 Phoenix Rising Phoenix Rising USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Phoenix Rising
1-0
AWAY Oakland Roots
1.22 xG 0.37
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
384 Passes 335
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Phoenix Rising nicked a narrow win over Oakland Roots 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Phoenix Rising as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Phoenix Rising had 53% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 47%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.22 to 0.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oakland Roots led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Phoenix Rising and 1.33 for Oakland Roots.

What was the final score of Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?

Phoenix Rising 1-0 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots?

Before kick-off our model rated a Phoenix Rising win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Phoenix Rising 44%, draw 26%, Oakland Roots 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Phoenix Rising), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Phoenix Rising) ✓ BTTS No
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