North Carolina 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 24 Mar 2024

North Carolina
1-1 HT 0-0
Tampa Bay Rowdies
📅24/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USL Championship – 2024

North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 29% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

North Carolina v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North Carolina EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
0.73/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.33
-87% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.3 Crosses 13.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.6

North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North Carolina
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.99 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 343
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.07.2020 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 2-2 HT 2-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
22.08.2019 North Carolina North Carolina 4-2 HT 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
09.06.2019 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 1-3 HT 0-1 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
02.09.2018 North Carolina North Carolina 0-3 HT 0-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP
12.08.2018 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies 0-2 HT 0-0 North Carolina North Carolina USLP
17.03.2018 North Carolina North Carolina 1-3 HT 1-2 Tampa Bay Rowdies Tampa Bay Rowdies USLP

North Carolina 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North Carolina
1-1
AWAY Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.19 xG 0.13
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
312 Passes 378
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

North Carolina and Tampa Bay Rowdies couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, North Carolina had 46% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 54%, shots finished 16-3, expected goals 1.19 to 0.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, North Carolina had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for North Carolina and 1.83 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.

What was the final score of North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

North Carolina 1-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North Carolina vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split North Carolina 35%, draw 27%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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