Dalian Huayi 3-1 Nanjing City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Huayi EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -24%
1.22/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.50
+10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
344 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
19.5 Crosses 18.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Huayi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nanjing City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.42 xG 0.84
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
206 Passes 274
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Nanjing City Nanjing City 1-2 HT 0-0 Dalian Huayi Dalian Huayi ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dalian Huayi
3-1
AWAY Nanjing City
2.83 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
301 Passes 295
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dalian Huayi vs Nanjing City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Huayi saw off Nanjing City 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dalian Huayi as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dalian Huayi had 51% of the ball to Nanjing City's 49%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.83 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Dalian Huayi vs Nanjing City?

Dalian Huayi 3-1 Nanjing City in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Huayi vs Nanjing City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dalian Huayi win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dalian Huayi 45%, draw 27%, Nanjing City 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Huayi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Huayi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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