Nanjing City 1-2 Dalian Huayi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
1.99
No
63%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.74
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 41% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.1pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+6.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-6.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
46%
-9.1pp
63%
BTTS No
54%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nanjing City EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Huayi EU Bookmakers 40%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.12/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.54
+69% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
11.8 Crosses 19.0
4.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nanjing City
1-2
AWAY Dalian Huayi
0.84 xG 0.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
274 Passes 206
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 12
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nanjing City vs Dalian Huayi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Huayi edged past Nanjing City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Dalian Huayi made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nanjing City had 58% of the ball to Dalian Huayi's 42%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.84 to 0.42 — the balance of chances actually favoured Nanjing City.

What was the final score of Nanjing City vs Dalian Huayi?

Nanjing City 1-2 Dalian Huayi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nanjing City vs Dalian Huayi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dalian Huayi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nanjing City 30%, draw 33%, Dalian Huayi 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Huayi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Huayi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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