Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.23
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 32%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
0.45/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.08
-22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
15.0 Crosses 15.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen Juniors
2-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
2.18 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
276 Passes 237
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen Juniors edged past Foshan Nanshi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Shenzhen Juniors found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen Juniors had 53% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 47%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 2.18 to 0.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shenzhen Juniors's control.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Foshan Nanshi?

Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shenzhen Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 37%, draw 33%, Foshan Nanshi 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shenzhen Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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