İngiltere (K) 6-1 Galler (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European Women's Championship, 13 Jul 2025

İngiltere (K)
6-1 HT 4-0
Galler (K)
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
European Women's Championship – 2025

İngiltere (K) vs Galler (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.11
Draw
13%
8.11
Away
11%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
3.17
Over 2.5
70%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.51
No
49%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
8.06
2-3 Goals
33%
2.38
4-5 Goals
35%
2.46
6+ Goals
19%
4.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1.14
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
35.0
X/1
22%
3.98
X/2
4%
35.0
X/X
4%
15.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
29.0
2/2
4%
35.0
2/X
4%
35.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.0 — our 10% vs market 1.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
85%
-8.9pp
13%
Draw
9%
+3.8pp
11%
Away Win
6%
+5.0pp
30%
Under 2.5
28%
+1.5pp
70%
Over 2.5
72%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
36%
+15.3pp
49%
BTTS No
64%
-15.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İngiltere (K) v Galler (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
4.56/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.55
+23% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +82% / -14%
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
415 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 75%
44.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.5 Crosses 8.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

İngiltere (K) vs Galler (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Galler (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.84 xG 0.40
76% Ball Possession 24%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
488 Passes 91
82% Pass Accuracy 47%
42 Box Touches 8
42 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2018 Galler (K) Galler (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) KDK
06.04.2018 İngiltere (K) İngiltere (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Galler (K) Galler (K) KDK

İngiltere (K) 6-1 Galler (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere (K)
6-1
AWAY Galler (K)
5.57 xG 0.68
77% Ball Possession 23%
24 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
635 Passes 136
91% Pass Accuracy 65%
59 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH İngiltere (K) vs Galler (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere (K) swept aside Galler (K) 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had İngiltere (K) as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, İngiltere (K) had 77% of the ball to Galler (K)'s 23%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 5.57 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, İngiltere (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for İngiltere (K) and 0.00 for Galler (K).

What was the final score of İngiltere (K) vs Galler (K)?

İngiltere (K) 6-1 Galler (K) in the European Women's Championship on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere (K) vs Galler (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split İngiltere (K) 76%, draw 13%, Galler (K) 11%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABK More European Women's Championship
13 Jul 2025
22:00 Hollanda (K) vs Fransa (K) Analysis →