Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 4-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.3pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 23%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.02/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.51
-14% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 18.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.08 xG 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
324 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.07.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-1 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
09.04.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
31.07.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-2 HT 0-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
30.04.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-2 HT 0-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
29.08.2021 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-4 HT 0-2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
16.05.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane swept aside Sunshine Coast Wanderers 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastern Suburbs Brisbane as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunshine Coast Wanderers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and 2.17 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 4-1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern Suburbs Brisbane win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 50%, draw 24%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern Suburbs Brisbane) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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