St George Willawong vs Brisbane City Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St George Willawong v Brisbane City — Team-Based Signals
St George Willawong vs Brisbane City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Brisbane City cruised past St George Willawong 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brisbane City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of St George Willawong vs Brisbane City?
St George Willawong 1-4 Brisbane City in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St George Willawong vs Brisbane City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split St George Willawong 21%, draw 24%, Brisbane City 55%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.