Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
5.12
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Paranaense EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 23%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
1.67/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.28
-24% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.5 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Paranaense
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.89 xG 1.02
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
387 Passes 270
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2023 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
16.04.2023 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BR1
02.11.2022 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 3-2 HT 3-1 Goias Goias BR1
10.07.2022 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
14.11.2020 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
13.08.2020 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-1 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Paranaense
0-1
AWAY Goias
1.00 xG 0.64
69% Ball Possession 31%
21 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
495 Passes 174
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Paranaense vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias nicked a narrow win over Atletico Paranaense 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Goias found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 69% of the ball to Goias's 31%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.00 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Goias?

Atletico Paranaense 0-1 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 40%, draw 27%, Goias 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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