Criciuma vs Ferroviaria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Criciuma v Ferroviaria — Team-Based Signals
Criciuma 2-1 Ferroviaria — Actual Match Statistics
Criciuma squeezed past Ferroviaria 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Criciuma as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Criciuma had 51% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 49%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.56 to 1.49.
What was the final score of Criciuma vs Ferroviaria?
Criciuma 2-1 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Ferroviaria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 46%, draw 29%, Ferroviaria 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Criciuma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.