Tallinna Kalev 3-1 Harju Jalgpallikool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 13 Jul 2025

Tallinna Kalev
3-1 HT 2-0
Harju Jalgpallikool
📅13/07/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2025

Tallinna Kalev vs Harju Jalgpallikool Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.4pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tallinna Kalev v Harju Jalgpallikool — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tallinna Kalev EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool EU Bookmakers 48%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.31/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-2% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +102% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0

Tallinna Kalev vs Harju Jalgpallikool Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.05.2025 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-3 HT 1-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
09.03.2025 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0 HT 2-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
31.10.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-0 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1
16.09.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 2-1 HT 0-1 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
28.06.2023 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev 1-1 HT 1-0 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool EST1
15.03.2023 Harju Jalgpallikool Harju Jalgpallikool 0-2 HT 0-1 Tallinna Kalev Tallinna Kalev EST1

Tallinna Kalev 3-1 Harju Jalgpallikool — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tallinna Kalev
3-1
AWAY Harju Jalgpallikool
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tallinna Kalev vs Harju Jalgpallikool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tallinna Kalev saw off Harju Jalgpallikool 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Tallinna Kalev found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tallinna Kalev had 37% of the ball to Harju Jalgpallikool's 63%, shots finished 12-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tallinna Kalev had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tallinna Kalev and 1.17 for Harju Jalgpallikool.

What was the final score of Tallinna Kalev vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Tallinna Kalev 3-1 Harju Jalgpallikool in the Estonia - Premium League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tallinna Kalev vs Harju Jalgpallikool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harju Jalgpallikool win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tallinna Kalev 36%, draw 24%, Harju Jalgpallikool 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Harju Jalgpallikool) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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