Incheon United 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 23%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.99/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.59
+16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
367 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.8 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
592 Passes 288
89% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 0-3 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-1
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
462 Passes 202
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United squeezed past Asan Mugunghwa 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 66% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 34%, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Incheon United 2-1 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 45%, draw 28%, Asan Mugunghwa 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR2 More South Kore - K League Challenge
13 Jul 2025
13:00 Ansan Greeners vs Seoul E-Land Analysis →
13:00 Bucheon 1995 vs Gimpo Citizen Analysis →