Leevon / PPK 2-4 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
6.35
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
3%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
13%
+4.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-0.4pp
66%
Away Win
70%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leevon / PPK EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 75%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.00/5.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/1.00
-100% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +6%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
247 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Leevon / PPK vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BFC Daugavpils saw off Leevon / PPK 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Leevon / PPK vs BFC Daugavpils?

Leevon / PPK 2-4 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Cup on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leevon / PPK vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Leevon / PPK 17%, draw 16%, BFC Daugavpils 66%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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