Marupe 1-4 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
40%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.1pp
18%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-0.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marupe EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
219 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga ran out comfortable winners over Marupe 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Metta / LU Riga as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga?

Marupe 1-4 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Cup on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marupe 24%, draw 18%, Metta / LU Riga 57%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metta / LU Riga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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