Milan vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Monza — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Monza
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Milan
İTBK
0-1
HT 0-1
Milan
İTA
4-1
HT 2-0
Monza
İTA
0-3
HT 0-3
Milan
HAZ
Milan 3-1 Monza — Actual Match Statistics
Milan got the better of Monza 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Milan as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Milan had 61% of the ball to Monza's 39%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.23 to 0.85.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Milan and 1.00 for Monza.
What was the final score of Milan vs Monza?
Milan 3-1 Monza in the Italy - Berlusconi Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Monza?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Milan 49%, draw 26%, Monza 25%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Milan) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.