Tecnico Universitario 2-0 Aucas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Aucas EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +17%
1.25/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.18
-5% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
17.7 Crosses 14.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aucas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.10 xG 1.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
214 Passes 319
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 4
10.03.2024 Aucas Aucas 3-1 HT 2-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
17.09.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-4 HT 2-3 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
18.09.2022 Aucas Aucas 5-2 HT 3-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.05.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
23.10.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2-0
AWAY Aucas
1.89 xG 1.56
34% Ball Possession 66%
13 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
189 Passes 438
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 40
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario got the better of Aucas 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Tecnico Universitario made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 34% of the ball to Aucas's 66%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.89 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 2.17 for Aucas.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Tecnico Universitario 2-0 Aucas in the Ecuador - Premier on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 38%, draw 31%, Aucas 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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