Aucas 3-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-7.0pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.8pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aucas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +0%
1.40/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 70%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
17.7 Crosses 14.6
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aucas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.77 xG 1.12
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
313 Passes 218
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 5
17.09.2023 Aucas Aucas 2-4 HT 2-3 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
15.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
18.09.2022 Aucas Aucas 5-2 HT 3-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
01.05.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 0-1 HT 0-1 Aucas Aucas EKV1
23.10.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-0 Aucas Aucas EKV1
10.05.2021 Aucas Aucas 0-2 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aucas
3-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
2.20 xG 0.26
67% Ball Possession 33%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
400 Passes 167
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 5
22 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aucas got the better of Tecnico Universitario 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aucas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aucas had 67% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 33%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.20 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aucas and 1.50 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?

Aucas 3-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aucas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aucas 42%, draw 32%, Tecnico Universitario 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aucas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aucas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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