Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Mar 2024

Independiente Del Valle
3-1 HT 3-1
Barcelona SC
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Del Valle v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.53/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.63
+3% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
18.0 Crosses 13.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.3

Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.15 xG 1.20
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
439 Passes 224
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
19.03.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 1-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
31.07.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-1 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
13.03.2022 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
30.08.2021 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.04.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-2 HT 0-2 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
3-1
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.39 xG 0.86
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
164 Passes 217
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle got the better of Barcelona SC 3-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 43% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 57%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.39 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 1.00 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC?

Independiente Del Valle 3-1 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 46%, draw 27%, Barcelona SC 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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