Orense 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Mar 2024

Orense
1-1 HT 0-1
Deportivo Cuenca
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.2pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orense v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 25%
-9% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.39/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.56
-37% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 70%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
19.5 Crosses 16.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.00 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 231
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
08.04.2023 Orense Orense 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
16.10.2022 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
24.05.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
22.08.2021 Orense Orense 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
23.03.2021 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1

Orense 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
0.81 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
307 Passes 223
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense and Deportivo Cuenca couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Orense at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Orense had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 44%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.81 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Orense and 0.67 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Orense 1-1 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orense 42%, draw 32%, Deportivo Cuenca 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orense), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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