Rostov 3-1 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 13 Aug 2024

Rostov
3-1 HT 2-1
Khimki
📅13/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Russia - Cup – 2024/2025

Rostov vs Khimki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.55 — our 30% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
57%
-10.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rostov v Khimki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.00
-33% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +84%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 5.0

Rostov vs Khimki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Khimki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.29 xG 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
317 Passes 303
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.04.2024 Khimki Khimki 0-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUSK
19.03.2023 Khimki Khimki 0-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
31.07.2022 Rostov Rostov 1-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
14.05.2022 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
08.08.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-1 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
12.03.2021 Khimki Khimki 1-0 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS

Rostov 3-1 Khimki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
3-1
AWAY Khimki
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov saw off Khimki 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rostov as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rostov had 46% of the ball to Khimki's 54%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rostov and 0.50 for Khimki.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Khimki?

Rostov 3-1 Khimki in the Russia - Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rostov win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rostov 46%, draw 27%, Khimki 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rostov) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rostov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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