Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hilal Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
4-2
HT 3-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
1-1
HT 0-1
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
5-1
HT 3-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Hilal Riyadh
SUUD
Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Hilal Riyadh and Al Ahli Jeddah shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Al Hilal Riyadh at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Al Hilal Riyadh had 60% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 40%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.77 to 0.62.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Hilal Riyadh and 1.00 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Hilal Riyadh 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Super Cup on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hilal Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Hilal Riyadh 44%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Jeddah 31%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.