Mafra U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Aug 2024

Mafra U23
1-0
Sporting CP U23
📅13/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Portugal - U23 National Championship – 2024/2025

Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
21%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
51%
Away Win
56%
-6.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mafra U23 v Sporting CP U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP U23 EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 441 · 85%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
The Meetings
06.12.2023 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP U23 Sporting CP U23 UŞGB

Mafra U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-0
AWAY Sporting CP U23
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP U23 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting CP U23 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 36% of the ball to Sporting CP U23's 64%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Mafra U23 1-0 Sporting CP U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Sporting CP U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 24%, draw 26%, Sporting CP U23 51%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting CP U23), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting CP U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
13 Aug 2024
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