Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Aug 2024

📅13/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benfica U23
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Estoril U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 1-0 HT 1-0 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 PORU23
23.01.2024 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 1-3 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 PORU23
07.10.2023 Benfica U23 Benfica U23 3-4 HT 2-2 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U23
2-1
AWAY Estoril U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Benfica U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Benfica U23 had 45% of the ball to Estoril U23's 55%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Estoril U23 led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Benfica U23 and 2.67 for Estoril U23.

What was the final score of Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Benfica U23 2-1 Estoril U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U23 vs Estoril U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Benfica U23 37%, draw 30%, Estoril U23 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
13 Aug 2024
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