Bolton Wanderers 3-3 Sheffield Wednesday — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2025

Bolton Wanderers
3-3 HT 1-2
Sheffield Wednesday
📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - League Cup – 2025/2026

Bolton Wanderers vs Sheffield Wednesday Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.95
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.98
4-5 Goals
24%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.48
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
20.2
X/1
20%
3.92
X/2
9%
18.6
X/X
7%
8.59
2/1
8%
20.0
2/2
8%
14.95
2/X
6%
23.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-11.8pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bolton Wanderers v Sheffield Wednesday — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.39/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.68
-56% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +76%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
26.0 Crosses 11.7
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Bolton Wanderers vs Sheffield Wednesday Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolton Wanderers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.59 xG 1.27
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 276
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.03.2023 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 HT 1-1 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
20.08.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-2 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
09.04.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İN1
09.10.2021 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
12.03.2019 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday İNCL
27.11.2018 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İNCL

Bolton Wanderers 3-3 Sheffield Wednesday — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolton Wanderers
3-3
AWAY Sheffield Wednesday
1.39 xG 0.94
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
411 Passes 401
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bolton Wanderers vs Sheffield Wednesday
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers and Sheffield Wednesday shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bolton Wanderers at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Bolton Wanderers had 53% of the ball to Sheffield Wednesday's 47%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.39 to 0.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sheffield Wednesday led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.33 for Sheffield Wednesday.

What was the final score of Bolton Wanderers vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Bolton Wanderers 3-3 Sheffield Wednesday in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolton Wanderers vs Sheffield Wednesday?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bolton Wanderers 60%, draw 18%, Sheffield Wednesday 22%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNLK More England - League Cup
13 Aug 2025
21:45 Barnsley vs Fleetwood Town Analysis →
21:45 Huddersfield Town vs Leicester City Analysis →
21:45 Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City Analysis →
22:00 Birmingham vs Sheffield United Analysis →