Cheltenham Town 2-0 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - League Cup, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.03
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.5
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
27.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
11%
6.09
X/2
15%
5.21
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.38
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.0 — our 9% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheltenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.30/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.42
-65% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / +77%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
236 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 67%
6.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.0 Crosses 20.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheltenham Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Exeter City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.85 xG 1.60
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
199 Passes 364
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.04.2024 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 1-2 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
16.09.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 1-0 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
18.03.2023 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 3-1 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
20.08.2022 Exeter City Exeter City 0-1 HT 0-0 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town İN1
09.08.2022 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 0-7 HT 0-5 Exeter City Exeter City İNLK
05.10.2021 Cheltenham Town Cheltenham Town 2-2 HT 1-2 Exeter City Exeter City İNTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheltenham Town
2-0
AWAY Exeter City
2.53 xG 0.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 8
230 Passes 271
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheltenham Town got the better of Exeter City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Cheltenham Town made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cheltenham Town had 47% of the ball to Exeter City's 53%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.53 to 0.66.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Exeter City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cheltenham Town and 2.17 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?

Cheltenham Town 2-0 Exeter City in the England - League Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 36%, draw 26%, Exeter City 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Exeter City), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Exeter City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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