Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cheltenham Town v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals
Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İN1
3-1
HT 1-0
Exeter City
İN1
0-1
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İN1
0-7
HT 0-5
Exeter City
İNLK
2-2
HT 1-2
Exeter City
İNTK
0-1
HT 0-0
Cheltenham Town
İN2
Cheltenham Town 1-2 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics
Exeter City squeezed past Cheltenham Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cheltenham Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cheltenham Town had 36% of the ball to Exeter City's 64%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.43 to 1.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cheltenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cheltenham Town and 1.83 for Exeter City.
What was the final score of Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?
Cheltenham Town 1-2 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cheltenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cheltenham Town 45%, draw 26%, Exeter City 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.