AEgir 1-2 Throttur Vogar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
16%
4.19
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
24%
Over 2.5
76%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.43
No
34%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-0.7pp
16%
Draw
20%
-4.2pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.9pp
66%
BTTS Yes
66%
-0.1pp
34%
BTTS No
34%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Throttur Vogar EU Bookmakers 24%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
3.12/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/3.01
+21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
336 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Throttur Vogar
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
61% Ball Possession 39%
4 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 6
04.06.2025 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 1-2 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL2
16.08.2024 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 3-0 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL2
17.09.2022 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 0-3 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
09.07.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-0 HT 0-0 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar İZL1
06.06.2020 Throttur Vogar Throttur Vogar 2-1 HT 1-1 AEgir AEgir İZK
POST-MATCH AEgir vs Throttur Vogar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Throttur Vogar nicked a narrow win over AEgir 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AEgir at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (76%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AEgir had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for AEgir and 1.20 for Throttur Vogar.

What was the final score of AEgir vs Throttur Vogar?

AEgir 1-2 Throttur Vogar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs Throttur Vogar?

Before kick-off our model rated a AEgir win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AEgir 58%, draw 16%, Throttur Vogar 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AEgir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AEgir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL2 More Iceland - 2nd Division
13 Aug 2025
00:00 Vikingur Olafsvik vs Haukar Analysis →
21:00 KFA vs Höttur / Huginn Analysis →
21:00 Dalvik / Reynir vs Kormakur / Hvöt Analysis →
21:00 KF Vidir vs Kari Analysis →
22:15 KFG Gardabar vs Grotta Analysis →