CRB 1-0 Athletic Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.64
Over
51%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.96
No
45%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
57%
-7.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
43%
+7.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.5pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club The Market 29%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.28/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.07
+18% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +51%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
19.8 Crosses 19.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Athletic Club
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 8
347 Passes 346
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
13.04.2025 Athletic Club Athletic Club 1-2 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-0
AWAY Athletic Club
1.80 xG 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
20 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
357 Passes 394
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs Athletic Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB squeezed past Athletic Club 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CRB as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CRB had 48% of the ball to Athletic Club's 52%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.80 to 0.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CRB's control.

What was the final score of CRB vs Athletic Club?

CRB 1-0 Athletic Club in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Athletic Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split CRB 42%, draw 28%, Athletic Club 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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