Athletic Club 1-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
36%
3.28
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.71
Over 2.5
32%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.88
No
60%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.75
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.91
6+ Goals
7%
18.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 39% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.2pp
37%
Draw
27%
+9.6pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
55%
+13.6pp
32%
Over 2.5
45%
-13.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.1pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Club EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
Crosses 15.3
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Club
1-2
AWAY CRB
1.49 xG 1.53
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
346 Passes 347
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Athletic Club vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB nicked a narrow win over Athletic Club 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 37% / 25% — and on the day CRB made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Club had 50% of the ball to CRB's 50%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.49 to 1.53.

What was the final score of Athletic Club vs CRB?

Athletic Club 1-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Club vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Club win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Athletic Club 39%, draw 37%, CRB 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
13 Apr 2025
00:00 Vila Nova vs Paysandu Analysis →
01:00 Novorizontino vs Volta Redonda Analysis →
01:00 Amazonas vs Ferroviaria Analysis →
02:00 Operario PR vs Goias Analysis →
22:00 Remo vs America Mineiro Analysis →