Novorizontino 1-0 Volta Redonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
4.57
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 37% vs market 34.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.9pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Volta Redonda EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-26% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 74%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.9 Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novorizontino
1-0
AWAY Volta Redonda
2.07 xG 0.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
338 Passes 274
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 4
22 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Novorizontino vs Volta Redonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino nicked a narrow win over Volta Redonda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Novorizontino as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Novorizontino had 55% of the ball to Volta Redonda's 45%, shots finished 20-4, expected goals 2.07 to 0.16 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Novorizontino's control.

What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Volta Redonda?

Novorizontino 1-0 Volta Redonda in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Volta Redonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 50%, draw 27%, Volta Redonda 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
13 Apr 2025
00:00 Vila Nova vs Paysandu Analysis →
01:00 Amazonas vs Ferroviaria Analysis →
02:00 Operario PR vs Goias Analysis →
22:00 Athletic Club vs CRB Analysis →
22:00 Remo vs America Mineiro Analysis →