Vila Nova vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRVK
0-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BRE3
2-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRE3
0-0
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BR2
Vila Nova 1-0 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova squeezed past Paysandu 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day Vila Nova made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.
On the day, Vila Nova had 45% of the ball to Paysandu's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 0.51 to 0.52.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vila Nova and 0.83 for Paysandu.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Paysandu?
Vila Nova 1-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Paysandu?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 40%, draw 32%, Paysandu 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.