Paysandu vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paysandu v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals
Paysandu vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRVK
0-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BRE3
2-0
HT 1-0
Paysandu
BRE3
0-0
HT 0-0
Paysandu
BR2
1-2
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
Paysandu 2-1 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics
Paysandu edged past Vila Nova 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Paysandu as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Paysandu had 64% of the ball to Vila Nova's 36%, shots finished 28-11, expected goals 2.13 to 0.48 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Paysandu's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paysandu and 1.17 for Vila Nova.
What was the final score of Paysandu vs Vila Nova?
Paysandu 2-1 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paysandu vs Vila Nova?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Paysandu 56%, draw 25%, Vila Nova 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paysandu) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.