CRB 1-1 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.38
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.21
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 29%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.22/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.15
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.7 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Operario PR
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
277 Passes 304
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.08.2024 Operario PR Operario PR 2-0 HT 1-0 CRB CRB BR2
22.10.2022 CRB CRB 2-1 HT 1-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
06.07.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 2-3 HT 2-2 CRB CRB BR2
28.11.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 2-0 CRB CRB BR2
19.08.2021 CRB CRB 0-0 HT 0-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
15.01.2021 Operario PR Operario PR 3-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-1
AWAY Operario PR
0.57 xG 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
276 Passes 434
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
8 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CRB vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB and Operario PR couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was CRB at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, CRB had 42% of the ball to Operario PR's 58%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.57 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Operario PR led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CRB and 1.67 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of CRB vs Operario PR?

CRB 1-1 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split CRB 41%, draw 30%, Operario PR 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CRB), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
24 Nov 2024
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