America de Cali 1-2 Fluminense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.66
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.25
Over 2.5
37%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.81
No
61%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.64
2-3 Goals
33%
2.08
4-5 Goals
20%
10.55
6+ Goals
4%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.18
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.55
X/1
12%
4.18
X/2
4%
7.44
X/X
21%
2.8
2/1
4%
35.0
2/2
18%
7.42
2/X
9%
18.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-6.4pp
36%
Draw
34%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
76%
-13.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
24%
+13.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+7.6pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fluminense EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.74/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.10
-60% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +64%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
12.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.9
14.1 Crosses 11.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-2
AWAY Fluminense
1.38 xG 0.64
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
401 Passes 154
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 23
39 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Fluminense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fluminense edged past America de Cali 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 36% / 27%) promised a tight game; Fluminense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, America de Cali had 68% of the ball to Fluminense's 32%, shots finished 22-11, expected goals 1.38 to 0.64 — on chances, America de Cali could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Fluminense?

America de Cali 1-2 Fluminense in the Copa Sudamericana on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Fluminense?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 37%, draw 36%, Fluminense 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
CSA More Copa Sudamericana
13 Aug 2025
01:00 Once Caldas vs Huracan Analysis →
03:30 Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa Analysis →