Baerum 0-5 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 13 Aug 2025

📅13/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.4
Draw
13%
4.95
Away
75%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
15%
-2.9pp
13%
Draw
17%
-4.3pp
75%
Away Win
68%
+7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 72%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
2.17/2.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.68/0.30
+71% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +150%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baerum
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stabaek
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
24.04.2024 Baerum Baerum 0-5 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek ran out comfortable winners over Baerum 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Stabaek?

Baerum 0-5 Stabaek in the Norway - NM Cup on 13/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Baerum 13%, draw 13%, Stabaek 75%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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