Baerum 0-5 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 24 Apr 2024

Baerum
0-5
Stabaek
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2024

Baerum vs Stabaek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
7.78
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
59%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.17
Over 2.5
65%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
33%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
10%
+10.0pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.9pp
59%
Away Win
79%
-19.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
28%
+6.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
72%
-6.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.5pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baerum v Stabaek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baerum EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 84%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.59/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.25/0.60
+63% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +59%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
211 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 513 · 87%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Baerum vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek swept aside Baerum 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

What was the final score of Baerum vs Stabaek?

Baerum 0-5 Stabaek in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baerum vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Baerum 20%, draw 21%, Stabaek 59%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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