24/04/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-3
2nd Score
2-2
Bjarg vs Asane Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
10%
23%
Draw
15%
60%
Away Win
76%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bjarg v Asane — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bjarg
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Asane
EU Bookmakers 80%
-14% /
-14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
1.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.57/1.94
+2%
/
-22%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+14%
/
-51%
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
7
237 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
477 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Bjarg vs Asane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Asane cruised past Bjarg 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Asane as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Bjarg vs Asane?
Bjarg 0-3 Asane in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bjarg vs Asane?
Before kick-off our model rated an Asane win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bjarg 18%, draw 23%, Asane 60%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asane), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Asane)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOK
More Norway - NM Cup
24 Apr 2024