24/04/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Rade vs Moss Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
17%
Draw
14%
67%
Away Win
76%
41%
Under 2.5
31%
59%
Over 2.5
69%
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
55%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rade v Moss — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rade
EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Moss
EU Bookmakers 81%
-2% /
-2%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+4% /
+4%
0.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.58/0.42
-100%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-21%
/
+124%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Target
7
3
Corners
6
293 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
425 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Rade 2-1 Moss — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Rade
2-1
AWAY
Moss
41%
Ball Possession
59%
9
Total Shots
15
5
Shots on Target
6
2
Corners
4
3
Yellow Cards
1
POST-MATCH
Rade vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rade squeezed past Moss 2-1.
This one beat our numbers. Moss carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Rade had 41% of the ball to Moss's 59%, shots finished 9-15.
What was the final score of Rade vs Moss?
Rade 2-1 Moss in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rade vs Moss?
Before kick-off our model rated an Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Rade 16%, draw 17%, Moss 67%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Moss), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Moss)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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24 Apr 2024