Hodd 1-0 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 24 Apr 2024

Hodd
1-0 HT 0-0
Aalesund
📅24/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Norway - NM Cup – 2024

Hodd vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
5.34
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
47%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
16%
+12.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
47%
Away Win
60%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hodd v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 64%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.40/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.65/0.72
-70% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +72%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Hodd vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hodd
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aalesund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.06.2022 Hodd Hodd 0-3 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
03.06.2015 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
25.05.2011 Hodd Hodd 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
09.07.2008 Hodd Hodd 1-2 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOK
15.06.2005 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 3-1 Hodd Hodd NOK
28.08.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-2 HT 0-1 Hodd Hodd NOR1
POST-MATCH Hodd vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd edged past Aalesund 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hodd and 1.67 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Hodd vs Aalesund?

Hodd 1-0 Aalesund in the Norway - NM Cup on 24/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hodd 28%, draw 25%, Aalesund 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Aalesund) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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