Inter Miami 2-3 Leon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 13 Aug 2026

📅13/08/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.6
No
38%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.85
6+ Goals
12%
8.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.3pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Leon EU Bookmakers 29%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
2.27/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.93
+77% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 81%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
18.0 Crosses 15.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-3
AWAY Leon
2.22 xG 1.33
24 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
471 Passes 333
40 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Leon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leon squeezed past Inter Miami 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 24-15, expected goals 2.22 to 1.33 — on chances, Inter Miami could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Leon?

Inter Miami 2-3 Leon in the Concacaf League Cup on 13/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Leon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 46%, draw 24%, Leon 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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