Toluca 3-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 13 Aug 2026

📅13/08/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
15%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.04
2-3 Goals
37%
2.07
4-5 Goals
29%
2.43
6+ Goals
14%
5.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-1.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.9pp
15%
Away Win
16%
-0.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.7pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toluca EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 19%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
1.10/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/2.46
-5% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
452 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
10.0 Crosses 9.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toluca
3-1
AWAY FC Dallas
2.19 xG 0.78
19 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
482 Passes 150
28 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Toluca vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toluca beat FC Dallas 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Toluca as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.19 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Toluca vs FC Dallas?

Toluca 3-1 FC Dallas in the Concacaf League Cup on 13/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toluca vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Toluca 64%, draw 20%, FC Dallas 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toluca), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Toluca) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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