Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.51
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 36% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.06
1/2
8%
32.0
1/X
6%
14.15
X/1
18%
5.39
X/2
11%
5.11
X/X
15%
4.08
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
16%
3.76
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunfermline Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.33/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.81
-18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +64%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
210 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 70%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
15.0 Crosses 12.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunfermline Athletic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Raith Rovers
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Corners 5
09.03.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
02.01.2024 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
24.11.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-3 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
28.10.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKCL
26.08.2023 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
15.07.2023 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 1-1 Dunfermline Athletic Dunfermline Athletic İKLK
POST-MATCH Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunfermline Athletic got the better of Raith Rovers 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Dunfermline Athletic made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Dunfermline Athletic and 1.67 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Dunfermline Athletic 2-0 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Championship on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunfermline Athletic vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunfermline Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dunfermline Athletic 37%, draw 29%, Raith Rovers 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dunfermline Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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