Athlone Town 1-4 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 13 Sep 2024

📅13/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
15%
12.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 25% vs market 23.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
20%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-6.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -55%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athlone Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
29.07.2022 Drogheda United Drogheda United 5-1 HT 3-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İRK
02.10.2020 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
14.08.2020 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 1-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
30.08.2019 Athlone Town Athlone Town 0-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
08.06.2019 Drogheda United Drogheda United 4-2 HT 3-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
05.04.2019 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-5 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athlone Town
1-4
AWAY Drogheda United
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athlone Town vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Drogheda United swept aside Athlone Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Drogheda United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Athlone Town had 51% of the ball to Drogheda United's 49%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Athlone Town and 3.17 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Athlone Town vs Drogheda United?

Athlone Town 1-4 Drogheda United in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athlone Town vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Drogheda United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Athlone Town 25%, draw 26%, Drogheda United 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Drogheda United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Drogheda United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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